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Mikhail Alexandrov: Baku-Ceyhan oil pipeline works as constraint for Baku to think well before...

War is in the air in Caucasus. Georgia’s President Mikheil Saakashvili threatens to take back Abkhazia and South Ossetia. Ilham Aliyev doesn’t want to fall behind either and pledges to resolve the Karabakh conflict by use of force. The situation is complicated and unpredictable. Mikhail Alexandrov, head of the Caucasus department at the Institute of CIS Studies, presents his vision of the region to PanARMENIAN.Net. Is resumption of hostilities possible in Nagorno Karabakh? Resumption of hostilities in Nagorno Karabakh is possible. Although, I don’t think it will be a large-scale operation. Azerbaijan will make local attempts Ilham Aliyev needs for his election campaign. Azerbaijan will never succeed in real war and will have to retreat. Aliyev just has to show that he thinks about and does soothing for resolution of the... [read full story]                    

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